Mekelle Kenema 0-1 Kedus Giorgis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 1 May 2025

📅01/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.84
Draw
38%
2.88
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
7%
X/X
24%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
31%
-4.0pp
38%
Draw
31%
+7.3pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-3.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.3pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mekelle Kenema EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Kedus Giorgis EU Bookmakers 42%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.66/1.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/0.66
+71% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +17%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mekelle Kenema
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Kedus Giorgis
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
30.09.2024 Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis 0-1 Mekelle Kenema Mekelle Kenema ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mekelle Kenema
0-1
AWAY Kedus Giorgis
47% Ball Possession 53%
5 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Mekelle Kenema vs Kedus Giorgis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kedus Giorgis squeezed past Mekelle Kenema 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (27% / 38% / 35%) promised a tight game; Kedus Giorgis found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Mekelle Kenema had 47% of the ball to Kedus Giorgis's 53%, shots finished 5-10.

What was the final score of Mekelle Kenema vs Kedus Giorgis?

Mekelle Kenema 0-1 Kedus Giorgis in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 01/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mekelle Kenema vs Kedus Giorgis?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Mekelle Kenema 27%, draw 38%, Kedus Giorgis 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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