Fasil Ketema 1-1 Hadiya Hosaena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 1 May 2025

📅01/05/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
33%
2.7
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
Over 2.5
34%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.44
No
59%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
16%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-3.2pp
33%
Draw
34%
-0.7pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+3.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
37%
+3.8pp
59%
BTTS No
63%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fasil Ketema EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Hadiya Hosaena EU Bookmakers 34%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.81/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/0.72
-22% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +46%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
269 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fasil Ketema
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Hadiya Hosaena
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
65% Ball Possession 35%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 3
11.01.2025 Hadiya Hosaena Hadiya Hosaena 1-1 Fasil Ketema Fasil Ketema ETH
04.05.2024 Hadiya Hosaena Hadiya Hosaena 1-2 HT 1-0 Fasil Ketema Fasil Ketema ETH
15.12.2023 Fasil Ketema Fasil Ketema 1-2 HT 0-0 Hadiya Hosaena Hadiya Hosaena ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fasil Ketema
1-1
AWAY Hadiya Hosaena
57% Ball Possession 43%
3 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Fasil Ketema vs Hadiya Hosaena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fasil Ketema and Hadiya Hosaena shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Fasil Ketema had 57% of the ball to Hadiya Hosaena's 43%, shots finished 3-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Fasil Ketema and 1.33 for Hadiya Hosaena.

What was the final score of Fasil Ketema vs Hadiya Hosaena?

Fasil Ketema 1-1 Hadiya Hosaena in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 01/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fasil Ketema vs Hadiya Hosaena?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hadiya Hosaena win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Fasil Ketema 33%, draw 33%, Hadiya Hosaena 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hadiya Hosaena), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hadiya Hosaena) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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