Hadiya Hosaena 1-1 Fasil Ketema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
33%
2.77
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
Over 2.5
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.53
No
55%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
21%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.4pp
33%
Draw
33%
+0.1pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-2.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
36%
+9.3pp
55%
BTTS No
64%
-9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hadiya Hosaena EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Fasil Ketema EU Bookmakers 37%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.97/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.59
-15% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -37%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
322 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hadiya Hosaena
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Fasil Ketema
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2024 Hadiya Hosaena Hadiya Hosaena 1-2 HT 1-0 Fasil Ketema Fasil Ketema ETH
15.12.2023 Fasil Ketema Fasil Ketema 1-2 HT 0-0 Hadiya Hosaena Hadiya Hosaena ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hadiya Hosaena
1-1
AWAY Fasil Ketema
34% Ball Possession 66%
6 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hadiya Hosaena vs Fasil Ketema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hadiya Hosaena and Fasil Ketema shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (36% / 33% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Hadiya Hosaena had 34% of the ball to Fasil Ketema's 66%, shots finished 6-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hadiya Hosaena and 1.50 for Fasil Ketema.

What was the final score of Hadiya Hosaena vs Fasil Ketema?

Hadiya Hosaena 1-1 Fasil Ketema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hadiya Hosaena vs Fasil Ketema?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hadiya Hosaena win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Hadiya Hosaena 36%, draw 33%, Fasil Ketema 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hadiya Hosaena), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hadiya Hosaena) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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