Welayta Dicha 1-2 Ethiopian Insurance — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
40%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
Over 2.5
34%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+1.6pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.7pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-0.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.1pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Welayta Dicha EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Ethiopian Insurance EU Bookmakers 45%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +43% / +43%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.25/0.00
+1% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% /
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
288 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Welayta Dicha
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Ethiopian Insurance
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 1
17.03.2024 Welayta Dicha Welayta Dicha 2-2 HT 0-0 Ethiopian Insurance Ethiopian Insurance ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Welayta Dicha
1-2
AWAY Ethiopian Insurance
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Welayta Dicha vs Ethiopian Insurance
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethiopian Insurance nicked a narrow win over Welayta Dicha 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 31% / 40% — and on the day Ethiopian Insurance made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Welayta Dicha had 41% of the ball to Ethiopian Insurance's 59%, shots finished 8-10.

What was the final score of Welayta Dicha vs Ethiopian Insurance?

Welayta Dicha 1-2 Ethiopian Insurance in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Welayta Dicha vs Ethiopian Insurance?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ethiopian Insurance win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Welayta Dicha 29%, draw 31%, Ethiopian Insurance 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ethiopian Insurance) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ethiopian Insurance) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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