Welayta Dicha 2-2 Ethiopian Insurance — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.19
Draw
32%
2.77
Away
36%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.36
Over 2.5
36%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.51
No
65%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
48%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
24%
X/2
17%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
42%
-9.5pp
31%
Draw
32%
-1.0pp
36%
Away Win
26%
+10.5pp
64%
Under 2.5
70%
-6.3pp
36%
Over 2.5
30%
+6.3pp
35%
BTTS Yes
36%
-0.8pp
65%
BTTS No
64%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Welayta Dicha EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ethiopian Insurance EU Bookmakers 29%
-53% / -53% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-31% / -55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
358 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Welayta Dicha
2-2
AWAY Ethiopian Insurance
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Welayta Dicha vs Ethiopian Insurance
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Welayta Dicha and Ethiopian Insurance couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 31% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Welayta Dicha had 49% of the ball to Ethiopian Insurance's 51%, shots finished 12-13.

What was the final score of Welayta Dicha vs Ethiopian Insurance?

Welayta Dicha 2-2 Ethiopian Insurance in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Welayta Dicha vs Ethiopian Insurance?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ethiopian Insurance win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Welayta Dicha 32%, draw 31%, Ethiopian Insurance 36%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ethiopian Insurance) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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