Fasil Ketema 2-2 Sidama Bunna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.02
Draw
31%
2.83
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.36
Over 2.5
32%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.6
No
63%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
21%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.5pp
31%
Draw
32%
-1.0pp
23%
Away Win
23%
+0.5pp
68%
Under 2.5
70%
-2.4pp
32%
Over 2.5
30%
+2.4pp
37%
BTTS Yes
34%
+2.9pp
63%
BTTS No
66%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fasil Ketema EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sidama Bunna EU Bookmakers 26%
-57% / -57% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +53% / +53%
2.00/4.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/1.00
+65% / -63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fasil Ketema
2-2
AWAY Sidama Bunna
62% Ball Possession 38%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Fasil Ketema vs Sidama Bunna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fasil Ketema and Sidama Bunna couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Fasil Ketema at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fasil Ketema had 62% of the ball to Sidama Bunna's 38%, shots finished 11-14.

What was the final score of Fasil Ketema vs Sidama Bunna?

Fasil Ketema 2-2 Sidama Bunna in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fasil Ketema vs Sidama Bunna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fasil Ketema win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Fasil Ketema 46%, draw 31%, Sidama Bunna 23%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fasil Ketema) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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