Super Nova vs Riga FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Super Nova v Riga FC — Team-Based Signals
Super Nova vs Riga FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Super Nova
LET
1-5
HT 1-2
Riga FC
LET
5-1
HT 4-0
Super Nova
LET
0-4
HT 0-2
Riga FC
LET
1-4
HT 1-1
Riga FC
LET
Super Nova 1-5 Riga FC — Actual Match Statistics
Riga FC cruised past Super Nova 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Riga FC as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%) came in.
On the day, Super Nova had 36% of the ball to Riga FC's 64%, shots finished 16-17, expected goals 0.83 to 2.05.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Riga FC led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Super Nova and 3.50 for Riga FC.
What was the final score of Super Nova vs Riga FC?
Super Nova 1-5 Riga FC in the Latvia - Virsliga on 01/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Super Nova vs Riga FC?
Before kick-off our model rated an Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Super Nova 15%, draw 16%, Riga FC 70%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.