Riga FC 2-0 Super Nova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 6 Mar 2025

Riga FC
2-0 HT 1-0
Super Nova
📅06/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Latvia - Virsliga – 2026

Riga FC vs Super Nova Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.16
Draw
16%
7.78
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
4%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
82%
-11.3pp
16%
Draw
10%
+5.8pp
13%
Away Win
7%
+5.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.3pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Riga FC v Super Nova — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Riga FC EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Super Nova EU Bookmakers 9%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +12%
2.80/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/2.29
+19% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +19%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
450 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 76%
44.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
29.9 Crosses 13.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5

Riga FC vs Super Nova Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Riga FC
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Super Nova
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
4.11 xG 0.38
70% Ball Possession 30%
28 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 1
446 Passes 164
82% Pass Accuracy 64%
72 Box Touches 7
37 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
29.10.2023 Riga FC Riga FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Super Nova Super Nova LET
06.08.2023 Super Nova Super Nova 1-5 HT 1-2 Riga FC Riga FC LET
31.05.2023 Riga FC Riga FC 5-1 HT 4-0 Super Nova Super Nova LET
20.04.2023 Super Nova Super Nova 0-4 HT 0-2 Riga FC Riga FC LET
30.09.2022 Super Nova Super Nova 1-4 HT 1-1 Riga FC Riga FC LET
17.07.2022 Riga FC Riga FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Super Nova Super Nova LET

Riga FC 2-0 Super Nova — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Riga FC
2-0
AWAY Super Nova
1.68 xG 0.18
70% Ball Possession 30%
18 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 2
569 Passes 164
88% Pass Accuracy 62%
38 Box Touches 10
22 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Riga FC vs Super Nova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga FC got the better of Super Nova 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Riga FC as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Riga FC had 70% of the ball to Super Nova's 30%, shots finished 18-3, expected goals 1.68 to 0.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Riga FC had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Riga FC and 0.67 for Super Nova.

What was the final score of Riga FC vs Super Nova?

Riga FC 2-0 Super Nova in the Latvia - Virsliga on 06/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Riga FC vs Super Nova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Riga FC 71%, draw 16%, Super Nova 13%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Riga FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LET More Latvia - Virsliga
6 Mar 2025
19:00 Grobina vs FS Jelgava Analysis →