Hatayspor 3-1 Van Spor FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 1 May 2026

📅01/05/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
6.35
Draw
18%
4.81
Away
61%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
41%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
12%
+8.3pp
18%
Draw
17%
+1.1pp
61%
Away Win
70%
-9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hatayspor EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Van Spor FK EU Bookmakers 75%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.65/1.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.83/1.19
-28% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -65%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
270 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 83%
11.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.0
12.0 Crosses 10.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hatayspor
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Van Spor FK
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
0.65 xG 2.29
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 3
212 Passes 386
78% Pass Accuracy 88%
12 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
27.12.2025 Van Spor FK Van Spor FK 4-0 HT 2-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hatayspor
3-1
AWAY Van Spor FK
1.16 xG 2.13
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 23
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 5
264 Passes 307
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 29
8 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hatayspor vs Van Spor FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hatayspor got the better of Van Spor FK 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Van Spor FK at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Hatayspor had 47% of the ball to Van Spor FK's 53%, shots finished 9-23, expected goals 1.16 to 2.13 — the balance of chances actually favoured Van Spor FK.

What was the final score of Hatayspor vs Van Spor FK?

Hatayspor 3-1 Van Spor FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 01/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hatayspor vs Van Spor FK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Van Spor FK win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Hatayspor 21%, draw 18%, Van Spor FK 61%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Van Spor FK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Van Spor FK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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