Manisa FK 5-0 Sakaryaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 1 May 2026

📅01/05/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.61
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
21%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
58%
-1.8pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.7pp
21%
Away Win
21%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manisa FK EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Sakaryaspor EU Bookmakers 24%
-10% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -9%
1.66/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.83
-30% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -27%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
352 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 75%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
23.0 Crosses 16.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manisa FK
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Sakaryaspor
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.32 xG 1.57
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
344 Passes 299
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.12.2025 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 0-2 HT 0-1 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
27.01.2025 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 1-2 HT 0-1 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
17.08.2024 Manisa FK Manisa FK 2-2 HT 0-1 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor T1L
02.03.2024 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 2-0 HT 0-0 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
07.10.2023 Manisa FK Manisa FK 1-1 HT 1-1 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor T1L
08.04.2023 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manisa FK
5-0
AWAY Sakaryaspor
3.05 xG 0.85
47% Ball Possession 53%
18 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
364 Passes 397
88% Pass Accuracy 89%
25 Box Touches 11
9 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Manisa FK vs Sakaryaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manisa FK cruised past Sakaryaspor 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Manisa FK as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Manisa FK had 47% of the ball to Sakaryaspor's 53%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 3.05 to 0.85.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Manisa FK and 1.33 for Sakaryaspor.

What was the final score of Manisa FK vs Sakaryaspor?

Manisa FK 5-0 Sakaryaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 01/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manisa FK vs Sakaryaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manisa FK win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Manisa FK 56%, draw 23%, Sakaryaspor 21%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manisa FK), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Manisa FK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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