Sakaryaspor 0-2 Manisa FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 26 Dec 2025

📅26/12/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
28%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.36
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals
25%
2.88
6+ Goals
12%
8.32
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.95
1/2
6%
29.0
1/X
6%
12.5
X/1
12%
5.32
X/2
11%
7.05
X/X
10%
5.46
2/1
9%
22.7
2/2
11%
4.56
2/X
11%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
44%
+1.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-2.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.3pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sakaryaspor EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Manisa FK EU Bookmakers 34%
+16% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -8%
1.38/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.24
+2% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
319 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
18.0 Crosses 16.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sakaryaspor
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Manisa FK
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.65 xG 1.22
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
286 Passes 329
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.01.2025 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 1-2 HT 0-1 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
17.08.2024 Manisa FK Manisa FK 2-2 HT 0-1 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor T1L
02.03.2024 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 2-0 HT 0-0 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
07.10.2023 Manisa FK Manisa FK 1-1 HT 1-1 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor T1L
08.04.2023 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
05.11.2022 Manisa FK Manisa FK 2-1 HT 0-0 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sakaryaspor
0-2
AWAY Manisa FK
1.04 xG 2.49
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
333 Passes 489
84% Pass Accuracy 90%
24 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sakaryaspor vs Manisa FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manisa FK saw off Sakaryaspor 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sakaryaspor at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sakaryaspor had 43% of the ball to Manisa FK's 57%, shots finished 13-18, expected goals 1.04 to 2.49.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sakaryaspor and 1.17 for Manisa FK.

What was the final score of Sakaryaspor vs Manisa FK?

Sakaryaspor 0-2 Manisa FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 26/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sakaryaspor vs Manisa FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sakaryaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sakaryaspor 46%, draw 26%, Manisa FK 28%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sakaryaspor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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