Sakaryaspor 1-2 Manisa FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 27 Jan 2025

Sakaryaspor
1-2 HT 0-1
Manisa FK
📅27/01/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Sakaryaspor vs Manisa FK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.9
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
3.37
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.58
6+ Goals
9%
14.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.65
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
12%
13.65
X/1
19%
4.55
X/2
6%
7.4
X/X
12%
4.9
2/1
5%
23.85
2/2
15%
5.6
2/X
5%
14.55
Value flag · 1/X at 13.65 — our 12% vs market 4.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.0pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.1pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.5pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sakaryaspor v Manisa FK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sakaryaspor EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Manisa FK EU Bookmakers 30%
+9% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -13%
1.05/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.56
+1% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -30%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
20.0 Crosses 17.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4

Sakaryaspor vs Manisa FK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sakaryaspor
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Manisa FK
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.52 xG 1.24
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
279 Passes 344
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.08.2024 Manisa FK Manisa FK 2-2 HT 0-1 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor T1L
02.03.2024 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 2-0 HT 0-0 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
07.10.2023 Manisa FK Manisa FK 1-1 HT 1-1 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor T1L
08.04.2023 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
05.11.2022 Manisa FK Manisa FK 2-1 HT 0-0 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor T1L
20.02.2016 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Manisa FK Manisa FK S3-2

Sakaryaspor 1-2 Manisa FK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sakaryaspor
1-2
AWAY Manisa FK
2.27 xG 1.11
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
324 Passes 252
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
31 Box Touches 18
29 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sakaryaspor vs Manisa FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manisa FK squeezed past Sakaryaspor 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sakaryaspor at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Sakaryaspor had 55% of the ball to Manisa FK's 45%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 2.27 to 1.11 — on chances, Sakaryaspor could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sakaryaspor had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sakaryaspor and 0.83 for Manisa FK.

What was the final score of Sakaryaspor vs Manisa FK?

Sakaryaspor 1-2 Manisa FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 27/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sakaryaspor vs Manisa FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sakaryaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sakaryaspor 44%, draw 30%, Manisa FK 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sakaryaspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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