Sakaryaspor 2-0 Manisa FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
26%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.78
Over 2.5
41%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.81
No
57%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.04
2-3 Goals
45%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
3.84
6+ Goals
7%
16.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 32% vs market 27.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.91
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.35
X/1
16%
4.58
X/2
14%
6.87
X/X
12%
4.4
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
7%
5.15
2/X
6%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+1.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
26%
Away Win
28%
-2.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.7pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sakaryaspor EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Manisa FK EU Bookmakers 32%
+24% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -5%
1.69/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.31
+27% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
16.6 Crosses 18.5
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sakaryaspor
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Manisa FK
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
1.47 xG 1.37
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
262 Passes 384
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 20
11 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
07.10.2023 Manisa FK Manisa FK 1-1 HT 1-1 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor T1L
08.04.2023 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
05.11.2022 Manisa FK Manisa FK 2-1 HT 0-0 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor T1L
20.02.2016 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Manisa FK Manisa FK S3-2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sakaryaspor
2-0
AWAY Manisa FK
1.12 xG 0.90
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
393 Passes 264
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
27 Box Touches 28
19 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sakaryaspor vs Manisa FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sakaryaspor got the better of Manisa FK 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sakaryaspor as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sakaryaspor had 57% of the ball to Manisa FK's 43%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.12 to 0.90.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sakaryaspor had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Sakaryaspor and 0.75 for Manisa FK.

What was the final score of Sakaryaspor vs Manisa FK?

Sakaryaspor 2-0 Manisa FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sakaryaspor vs Manisa FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sakaryaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sakaryaspor 47%, draw 28%, Manisa FK 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sakaryaspor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sakaryaspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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