Bodrum FK 0-1 Eyüpspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
37%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.81
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.16
6+ Goals
9%
20.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.81 — our 32% vs market 29.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
4.75
1/2
12%
28.5
1/X
5%
14.25
X/1
11%
6.21
X/2
11%
4.64
X/X
12%
4.3
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
13%
3.16
2/X
9%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
30%
+6.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
37%
Away Win
42%
-5.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.7pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bodrum FK EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Eyüpspor EU Bookmakers 46%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -6%
1.09/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.03
+75% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -13%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
255 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 77%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
16.3 Crosses 19.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bodrum FK
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Eyüpspor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.01 xG 0.79
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
223 Passes 299
71% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.10.2023 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor 3-0 HT 2-0 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK T1L
04.06.2023 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK 2-0 HT 0-0 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor T1L
31.05.2023 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK T1L
28.02.2023 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK T1L
03.09.2022 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK 3-0 HT 2-0 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor T1L
10.10.2020 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK 1-2 HT 0-0 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor S2-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bodrum FK
0-1
AWAY Eyüpspor
0.54 xG 0.92
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 1
274 Passes 167
71% Pass Accuracy 61%
30 Box Touches 14
31 Crosses 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Bodrum FK vs Eyüpspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eyüpspor squeezed past Bodrum FK 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Eyüpspor found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Bodrum FK had 60% of the ball to Eyüpspor's 40%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.54 to 0.92.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eyüpspor led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bodrum FK and 1.17 for Eyüpspor.

What was the final score of Bodrum FK vs Eyüpspor?

Bodrum FK 0-1 Eyüpspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bodrum FK vs Eyüpspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bodrum FK win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Bodrum FK 37%, draw 27%, Eyüpspor 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/27/37) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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