Tuzlaspor 1-1 Keçiörengücü — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.5
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
4.73
6+ Goals
9%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.62
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.25
X/1
17%
4.9
X/2
13%
5.57
X/X
13%
3.97
2/1
7%
32.0
2/2
13%
4.32
2/X
10%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-0.7pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.4pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-0.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.2pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tuzlaspor EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Keçiörengücü EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +17%
1.28/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.10
-2% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +24%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
278 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
15.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
14.8 Crosses 15.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tuzlaspor
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Keçiörengücü
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.14 xG 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
269 Passes 319
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Box Touches 26
10 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.10.2023 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 0-2 HT 0-1 Tuzlaspor T1L
02.04.2023 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 0-1 HT 0-1 Tuzlaspor T1L
30.10.2022 Tuzlaspor 1-3 HT 1-2 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
26.02.2022 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 1-0 HT 1-0 Tuzlaspor T1L
02.10.2021 Tuzlaspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
17.04.2021 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 0-1 HT 0-1 Tuzlaspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tuzlaspor
1-1
AWAY Keçiörengücü
1.23 xG 0.75
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
346 Passes 379
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
7 Box Touches 18
8 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Tuzlaspor vs Keçiörengücü
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tuzlaspor and Keçiörengücü couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Tuzlaspor had 48% of the ball to Keçiörengücü's 52%, shots finished 6-6, expected goals 1.23 to 0.75.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tuzlaspor had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tuzlaspor and 0.67 for Keçiörengücü.

What was the final score of Tuzlaspor vs Keçiörengücü?

Tuzlaspor 1-1 Keçiörengücü in the Turkey - 1st Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tuzlaspor vs Keçiörengücü?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tuzlaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Tuzlaspor 38%, draw 30%, Keçiörengücü 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Tuzlaspor), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tuzlaspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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