Erzurumspor FK 0-0 Kocaelispor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 2 Mar 2024

Erzurumspor FK
0-0 HT 0-0
Kocaelispor
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Erzurumspor FK vs Kocaelispor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
34%
3.04
Away
29%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.38
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
5.07
6+ Goals
6%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.58
1/2
4%
33.0
1/X
9%
14.5
X/1
14%
5.75
X/2
9%
4.78
X/X
16%
3.8
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
16%
3.55
2/X
9%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+5.2pp
33%
Draw
29%
+4.1pp
29%
Away Win
39%
-9.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.1pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Erzurumspor FK v Kocaelispor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Erzurumspor FK EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Kocaelispor EU Bookmakers 43%
-19% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
1.10/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.04
-39% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
257 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 72%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
20.2 Crosses 17.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9

Erzurumspor FK vs Kocaelispor Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Erzurumspor FK
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Kocaelispor
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.60 xG 0.71
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
234 Passes 320
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
06.10.2023 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 1-1 HT 1-0 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
01.05.2022 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 1-0 HT 0-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor T1L
10.12.2021 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 2-0 HT 1-0 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L

Erzurumspor FK 0-0 Kocaelispor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Erzurumspor FK
0-0
AWAY Kocaelispor
0.53 xG 0.36
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
190 Passes 303
60% Pass Accuracy 72%
11 Box Touches 10
28 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Erzurumspor FK vs Kocaelispor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Erzurumspor FK and Kocaelispor fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 33% / 29% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Erzurumspor FK had 44% of the ball to Kocaelispor's 56%, shots finished 9-6, expected goals 0.53 to 0.36.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Erzurumspor FK and 1.00 for Kocaelispor.

What was the final score of Erzurumspor FK vs Kocaelispor?

Erzurumspor FK 0-0 Kocaelispor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Erzurumspor FK vs Kocaelispor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Erzurumspor FK win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Erzurumspor FK 37%, draw 33%, Kocaelispor 29%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Erzurumspor FK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Erzurumspor FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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