Liaoning Shenyang 2-2 Qingdao Red Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 1 Jun 2024

📅01/06/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.85
No
46%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.16
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.72
6+ Goals
7%
15.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-4.2pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.8pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
50%
+4.0pp
46%
BTTS No
50%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liaoning Shenyang EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Qingdao Red Lions EU Bookmakers 25%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
1.61/0.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/1.26
-29% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +28%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
333 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 73%
36.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.9
42.0 Crosses 10.9
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liaoning Shenyang
2-2
AWAY Qingdao Red Lions
1.16 xG 1.19
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
244 Passes 215
74% Pass Accuracy 67%
20 Box Touches 23
29 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Liaoning Shenyang vs Qingdao Red Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liaoning Shenyang and Qingdao Red Lions couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Liaoning Shenyang at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Liaoning Shenyang had 51% of the ball to Qingdao Red Lions's 49%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 1.16 to 1.19.

What was the final score of Liaoning Shenyang vs Qingdao Red Lions?

Liaoning Shenyang 2-2 Qingdao Red Lions in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 01/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liaoning Shenyang vs Qingdao Red Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liaoning Shenyang win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Liaoning Shenyang 49%, draw 26%, Qingdao Red Lions 25%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Liaoning Shenyang) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Liaoning Shenyang) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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