Yanbian Longding 2-4 Guangxi Baoyun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 1 Jun 2024

📅01/06/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
35%
3.11
Away
34%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.59
Over 2.5
30%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.96
No
62%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
42%
2.44
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
13%
4.9
6+ Goals
6%
28.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.44 — our 42% vs market 34.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-2.5pp
35%
Draw
28%
+6.2pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-3.7pp
70%
Under 2.5
59%
+10.6pp
30%
Over 2.5
41%
-10.6pp
38%
BTTS Yes
47%
-8.6pp
62%
BTTS No
53%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yanbian Longding EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Guangxi Baoyun EU Bookmakers 42%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
0.95/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/0.69
-2% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +13%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
280 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
10.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
13.1 Crosses 14.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yanbian Longding
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Guangxi Baoyun
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.78 xG 0.64
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
318 Passes 240
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
10 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.10.2023 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding 2-2 HT 1-1 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun ÇİN2
28.06.2023 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 2-1 HT 1-0 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yanbian Longding
2-4
AWAY Guangxi Baoyun
0.58 xG 1.04
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 9
8 Corners 3
249 Passes 288
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Yanbian Longding vs Guangxi Baoyun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guangxi Baoyun saw off Yanbian Longding 4-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 35% / 34% — and on the day Guangxi Baoyun made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Yanbian Longding had 47% of the ball to Guangxi Baoyun's 53%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 0.58 to 1.04.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Guangxi Baoyun led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Yanbian Longding and 2.00 for Guangxi Baoyun.

What was the final score of Yanbian Longding vs Guangxi Baoyun?

Yanbian Longding 2-4 Guangxi Baoyun in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 01/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yanbian Longding vs Guangxi Baoyun?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Yanbian Longding 31%, draw 35%, Guangxi Baoyun 34%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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