Degerfors 3-1 Utsiktens BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 1 Jun 2024

Degerfors
3-1 HT 2-1
Utsiktens BK
📅01/06/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2024

Degerfors vs Utsiktens BK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.89
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.59
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
26%
3.34
6+ Goals
11%
12.2
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.34 — our 26% vs market 24.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.56
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.25
X/1
11%
4.44
X/2
10%
7.8
X/X
16%
4.89
2/1
8%
24.0
2/2
14%
5.67
2/X EV+ ✗
11%
13.75
Value flag · 2/X at 13.75 — our 11% vs market 4.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
49%
-11.1pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.0pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+5.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.0pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Degerfors v Utsiktens BK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Degerfors EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Utsiktens BK EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +7%
2.02/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.30
+25% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +22%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
473 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.3

Degerfors vs Utsiktens BK Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Degerfors
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Utsiktens BK
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
06.03.2021 Degerfors Degerfors 2-0 HT 1-0 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK İSÇK
01.08.2015 Degerfors Degerfors 1-2 HT 1-1 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK İSÇ2
03.04.2015 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK 4-1 HT 3-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ2
POST-MATCH Degerfors vs Utsiktens BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Degerfors got the better of Utsiktens BK 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 32% / 30% — and on the day Degerfors made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Utsiktens BK led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Degerfors and 2.00 for Utsiktens BK.

What was the final score of Degerfors vs Utsiktens BK?

Degerfors 3-1 Utsiktens BK in the Sweden - Superettan on 01/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Degerfors vs Utsiktens BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Degerfors win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Degerfors 38%, draw 32%, Utsiktens BK 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Degerfors), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Degerfors) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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