IK Brage 1-0 Östers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 1 Jun 2024

📅01/06/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.56
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.37
6+ Goals
9%
12.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.56 — our 27% vs market 22.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.16
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
15%
5.06
X/2
14%
6.29
X/X
8%
4.75
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
11%
4.3
2/X
8%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+3.6pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.2pp
31%
Away Win
31%
-0.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.9pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IK Brage EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Östers EU Bookmakers 34%
+3% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.74/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.20
+18% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +24%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
349 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IK Brage
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Östers
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2023 Östers Östers 1-0 HT 1-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
23.07.2023 IK Brage IK Brage 1-2 HT 1-1 Östers Östers İSÇ2
21.08.2022 IK Brage IK Brage 0-3 HT 0-2 Östers Östers İSÇ2
10.04.2022 Östers Östers 1-2 HT 0-1 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
04.10.2021 IK Brage IK Brage 2-2 HT 2-2 Östers Östers İSÇ2
23.05.2021 Östers Östers 1-2 HT 0-1 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
POST-MATCH IK Brage vs Östers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IK Brage squeezed past Östers 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had IK Brage as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Östers led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for IK Brage and 1.67 for Östers.

What was the final score of IK Brage vs Östers?

IK Brage 1-0 Östers in the Sweden - Superettan on 01/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IK Brage vs Östers?

Before kick-off our model rated a IK Brage win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split IK Brage 46%, draw 23%, Östers 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IK Brage), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (IK Brage) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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