Göteborg 1-0 Elfsborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 1 Jun 2024

Göteborg
1-0 HT 1-0
Elfsborg
📅01/06/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

Göteborg vs Elfsborg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.03
Over 2.5
45%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.89
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
3.16
6+ Goals
9%
10.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.89 — our 28% vs market 20.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.84
1/2
5%
25.5
1/X
9%
12.9
X/1
11%
5.91
X/2
15%
5.38
X/X
10%
5.02
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
18%
3.37
2/X
9%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-2.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.1pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
45%
+9.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
55%
-9.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.2pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Göteborg v Elfsborg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Göteborg EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Elfsborg EU Bookmakers 43%
-1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +7%
1.36/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.17
-15% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
366 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 79%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.1
20.7 Crosses 18.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Göteborg vs Elfsborg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Göteborg
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Elfsborg
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.66 xG 1.21
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
278 Passes 315
71% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 29
23 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
30.10.2023 Göteborg Göteborg 1-2 HT 0-1 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
16.07.2023 Elfsborg Elfsborg 1-1 HT 0-1 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
03.10.2022 Göteborg Göteborg 1-3 HT 1-2 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
22.05.2022 Elfsborg Elfsborg 3-1 HT 2-1 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
13.03.2022 Elfsborg Elfsborg 1-0 HT 0-0 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇK
01.10.2021 Elfsborg Elfsborg 1-0 HT 1-0 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ

Göteborg 1-0 Elfsborg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Göteborg
1-0
AWAY Elfsborg
1.19 xG 0.93
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 8
289 Passes 409
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 33
17 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Göteborg vs Elfsborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Göteborg edged past Elfsborg 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 38% — and on the day Göteborg made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Göteborg had 43% of the ball to Elfsborg's 57%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 1.19 to 0.93.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Elfsborg led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Göteborg and 1.83 for Elfsborg.

What was the final score of Göteborg vs Elfsborg?

Göteborg 1-0 Elfsborg in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 01/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Göteborg vs Elfsborg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Elfsborg win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Göteborg 34%, draw 29%, Elfsborg 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Elfsborg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Elfsborg) ✓ Under 2.5
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