IK Sirius 5-1 Norrköping — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 1 Jun 2024

IK Sirius
5-1 HT 3-0
Norrköping
📅01/06/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

IK Sirius vs Norrköping Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.57
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
26%
2.88
6+ Goals
13%
8.23
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.38
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
16%
4.47
X/2
9%
8.33
X/X
8%
5.64
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
21.35
2/2
8%
5.64
2/X
11%
13.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.35 — our 10% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
51%
-0.5pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.4pp
23%
Away Win
25%
-1.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.5pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

IK Sirius v Norrköping — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IK Sirius EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Norrköping EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
1.82/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.50
+27% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
399 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 79%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
21.2 Crosses 18.4
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0

IK Sirius vs Norrköping Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IK Sirius
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Norrköping
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.74 xG 1.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
412 Passes 293
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.03.2024 IK Sirius IK Sirius 2-2 HT 0-1 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇK
12.11.2023 IK Sirius IK Sirius 2-0 HT 0-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
02.04.2023 Norrköping Norrköping 1-1 HT 0-1 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
15.10.2022 IK Sirius IK Sirius 2-0 HT 2-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
03.07.2022 Norrköping Norrköping 0-1 HT 0-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
22.09.2021 IK Sirius IK Sirius 2-4 HT 1-2 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ

IK Sirius 5-1 Norrköping — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IK Sirius
5-1
AWAY Norrköping
2.13 xG 0.72
66% Ball Possession 34%
17 Total Shots 10
12 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
567 Passes 264
90% Pass Accuracy 82%
27 Box Touches 8
20 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH IK Sirius vs Norrköping
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IK Sirius cruised past Norrköping 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had IK Sirius as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, IK Sirius had 66% of the ball to Norrköping's 34%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 2.13 to 0.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, IK Sirius had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for IK Sirius and 1.17 for Norrköping.

What was the final score of IK Sirius vs Norrköping?

IK Sirius 5-1 Norrköping in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 01/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IK Sirius vs Norrköping?

Before kick-off our model rated a IK Sirius win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split IK Sirius 50%, draw 26%, Norrköping 23%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IK Sirius), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (IK Sirius) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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