KA Akureyri 2-3 İA Akranes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 1 Jun 2024

📅01/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.59
Over 2.5
53%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.43
No
47%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-3.0pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.6pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
35%
+12.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
65%
-12.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
66%
-12.6pp
47%
BTTS No
34%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KA Akureyri EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY İA Akranes EU Bookmakers 30%
+6% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
1.90/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/2.58
-17% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +31%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 76%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
20.6 Crosses 25.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KA Akureyri
5W-1D-0L
AWAY İA Akranes
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
16.02.2024 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 2-1 HT 1-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZLK
14.08.2022 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 3-0 HT 0-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
15.05.2022 İA Akranes İA Akranes 0-3 HT 0-1 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
29.08.2021 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 3-0 HT 2-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
16.06.2021 İA Akranes İA Akranes 0-2 HT 0-1 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
22.08.2020 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 2-2 HT 1-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KA Akureyri
2-3
AWAY İA Akranes
1.42 xG 1.67
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
344 Passes 194
80% Pass Accuracy 66%
26 Box Touches 14
39 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH KA Akureyri vs İA Akranes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İA Akranes squeezed past KA Akureyri 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was KA Akureyri at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, KA Akureyri had 60% of the ball to İA Akranes's 40%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.42 to 1.67.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KA Akureyri had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for KA Akureyri and 0.50 for İA Akranes.

What was the final score of KA Akureyri vs İA Akranes?

KA Akureyri 2-3 İA Akranes in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 01/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KA Akureyri vs İA Akranes?

Before kick-off our model rated a KA Akureyri win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split KA Akureyri 48%, draw 25%, İA Akranes 27%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KA Akureyri) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KA Akureyri) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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