KA Akureyri 2-1 İA Akranes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 16 Feb 2024

📅16/02/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.94
Away
26%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
3.94
Over 2.5
54%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.25
No
43%
3.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.0pp
30%
Draw
22%
+8.3pp
26%
Away Win
30%
-4.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
22%
+24.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
78%
-24.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
76%
-18.4pp
43%
BTTS No
24%
+18.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KA Akureyri EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY İA Akranes EU Bookmakers 34%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -35%
1.41/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.35/1.99
-6% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -82% / -30%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
400 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KA Akureyri
4W-1D-1L
AWAY İA Akranes
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
14.08.2022 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 3-0 HT 0-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
15.05.2022 İA Akranes İA Akranes 0-3 HT 0-1 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
29.08.2021 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 3-0 HT 2-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
16.06.2021 İA Akranes İA Akranes 0-2 HT 0-1 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
22.08.2020 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 2-2 HT 1-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
14.06.2020 İA Akranes İA Akranes 3-1 HT 1-1 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
POST-MATCH KA Akureyri vs İA Akranes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KA Akureyri squeezed past İA Akranes 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had KA Akureyri as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KA Akureyri had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for KA Akureyri and 0.83 for İA Akranes.

What was the final score of KA Akureyri vs İA Akranes?

KA Akureyri 2-1 İA Akranes in the Iceland - League Cup on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KA Akureyri vs İA Akranes?

Before kick-off our model rated a KA Akureyri win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split KA Akureyri 44%, draw 30%, İA Akranes 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KA Akureyri), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (KA Akureyri) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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