Keflavik 3-1 Grotta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 16 Feb 2024

Keflavik
3-1 HT 1-1
Grotta
📅16/02/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Iceland - League Cup – 2024

Keflavik vs Grotta Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.66
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.96
Over 2.5
49%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.41
No
49%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-5.3pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.9pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+6.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
30%
+20.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
70%
-20.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
67%
-16.2pp
50%
BTTS No
33%
+16.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Keflavik v Grotta — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Keflavik EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Grotta EU Bookmakers 26%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +39% / +39%
3.45/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/1.00
+39% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / +60%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
396 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Keflavik vs Grotta Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Keflavik
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Grotta
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
The Meetings
13.02.2021 Grotta Grotta 3-3 HT 3-1 Keflavik Keflavik İZLK
POST-MATCH Keflavik vs Grotta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Keflavik got the better of Grotta 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Keflavik as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Keflavik vs Grotta?

Keflavik 3-1 Grotta in the Iceland - League Cup on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Keflavik vs Grotta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Keflavik win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Keflavik 51%, draw 20%, Grotta 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Keflavik) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Keflavik) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İZLK More Iceland - League Cup
16 Feb 2024
21:30 Fram Reykjavik vs IR Reykjavik Analysis →
22:00 Vikingur R. vs Afturelding Analysis →
22:00 Throttur Reykjavik vs Valur Analysis →
22:30 KA Akureyri vs İA Akranes Analysis →