Throttur Reykjavik 2-0 Valur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 16 Feb 2024

📅16/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
9.57
Draw
20%
5.71
Away
61%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.96
Over 2.5
58%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
21%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
7%
+12.0pp
19%
Draw
14%
+5.5pp
61%
Away Win
79%
-17.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
30%
+11.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
70%
-11.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.8pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Throttur Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Valur EU Bookmakers 84%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.59/2.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
+47% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% /
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
239 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 433 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Throttur Reykjavik
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Valur
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
13.01.2024 Valur Valur 7-1 HT 3-0 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik İZLRT
22.08.2016 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik 0-4 HT 0-1 Valur Valur İZL
22.05.2016 Valur Valur 4-1 HT 3-0 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik İZL
17.08.2009 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik 0-1 HT 0-0 Valur Valur İZL
01.06.2009 Valur Valur 2-1 HT 1-1 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik İZL
18.09.2008 Valur Valur 2-0 HT 0-0 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Throttur Reykjavik
2-0
AWAY Valur
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 13
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Throttur Reykjavik vs Valur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Throttur Reykjavik beat Valur 2-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Valur at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Throttur Reykjavik had 34% of the ball to Valur's 66%, shots finished 8-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valur led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Throttur Reykjavik and 3.33 for Valur.

What was the final score of Throttur Reykjavik vs Valur?

Throttur Reykjavik 2-0 Valur in the Iceland - League Cup on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Throttur Reykjavik vs Valur?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valur win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Throttur Reykjavik 19%, draw 19%, Valur 61%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Valur), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Valur) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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