Fram Reykjavik 1-2 IR Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 16 Feb 2024

📅16/02/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.61
Over 2.5
63%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.3pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.5pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.7pp
37%
Under 2.5
35%
+2.3pp
63%
Over 2.5
65%
-2.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.1pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fram Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY IR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 27%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-3% / -57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
351 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fram Reykjavik
2W-0D-0L
AWAY IR Reykjavik
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
23.06.2020 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 3-1 HT 1-1 IR Reykjavik IR Reykjavik İZK
30.08.2018 IR Reykjavik IR Reykjavik 2-3 HT 1-1 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL1
POST-MATCH Fram Reykjavik vs IR Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IR Reykjavik edged past Fram Reykjavik 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Fram Reykjavik at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Fram Reykjavik had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Fram Reykjavik and 1.50 for IR Reykjavik.

What was the final score of Fram Reykjavik vs IR Reykjavik?

Fram Reykjavik 1-2 IR Reykjavik in the Iceland - League Cup on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fram Reykjavik vs IR Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fram Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Fram Reykjavik 46%, draw 24%, IR Reykjavik 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fram Reykjavik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fram Reykjavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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