Vikingur R. 4-1 Afturelding — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 16 Feb 2024

Vikingur R.
4-1
Afturelding
📅16/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Iceland - League Cup – 2024

Vikingur R. vs Afturelding Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.16
Draw
18%
7.78
Away
19%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.49
No
48%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
82%
-18.2pp
18%
Draw
10%
+8.2pp
18%
Away Win
8%
+10.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
63%
-11.1pp
48%
BTTS No
37%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vikingur R. v Afturelding — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vikingur R. EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Afturelding EU Bookmakers 11%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.83/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/3.30
-10% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -9%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
435 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2

Vikingur R. vs Afturelding Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vikingur R.
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Afturelding
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
72% Ball Possession 28%
14 Total Shots 3
9 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 2
The Meetings
14.03.2023 Afturelding Afturelding 0-3 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZLK
POST-MATCH Vikingur R. vs Afturelding
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vikingur R. cruised past Afturelding 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Vikingur R. as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Vikingur R. vs Afturelding?

Vikingur R. 4-1 Afturelding in the Iceland - League Cup on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vikingur R. vs Afturelding?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vikingur R. win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Vikingur R. 63%, draw 18%, Afturelding 18%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vikingur R.), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vikingur R.) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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