Avondale Heights 1-1 Melbourne Knights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 1 Jun 2024

📅01/06/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.49
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.51
Over 2.5
54%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.61
No
53%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
63%
-4.1pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.8pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.0pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avondale Heights EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne Knights EU Bookmakers 21%
+8% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -12%
0.67/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.46/1.87
+33% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
390 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.8 Crosses 18.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avondale Heights
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Melbourne Knights
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
318 Passes 216
78% Pass Accuracy 71%
13 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 4
23.02.2024 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 3-3 HT 0-2 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights AVNPL
02.09.2023 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 1-0 HT 0-0 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights AVNPL
30.06.2023 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 1-1 HT 1-0 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights AVNPL
01.04.2023 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 3-0 HT 1-0 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights AVNPL
28.05.2022 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 1-1 HT 1-0 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights AVNPL
25.02.2022 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 0-3 HT 0-1 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights AVNPL
POST-MATCH Avondale Heights vs Melbourne Knights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avondale Heights and Melbourne Knights shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Avondale Heights carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avondale Heights had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Avondale Heights and 0.83 for Melbourne Knights.

What was the final score of Avondale Heights vs Melbourne Knights?

Avondale Heights 1-1 Melbourne Knights in the Australia - National Premier League on 01/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avondale Heights vs Melbourne Knights?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avondale Heights win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Avondale Heights 59%, draw 21%, Melbourne Knights 21%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Avondale Heights) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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