Moreland City 1-1 Port Melbourne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 1 Jun 2024

📅01/06/2024 · 🕒08:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.69
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
40%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.59
Over 2.5
53%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.49
No
44%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
24%
+7.3pp
29%
Draw
22%
+6.5pp
40%
Away Win
54%
-13.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
35%
+12.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
65%
-12.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
63%
-6.7pp
44%
BTTS No
37%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moreland City EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Port Melbourne EU Bookmakers 58%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
2.23/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.06/0.57
+65% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +107%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 20.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moreland City
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Port Melbourne
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
14 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2024 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 3-1 HT 1-1 Moreland City Moreland City AVNPL
03.06.2023 Moreland City Moreland City 0-5 HT 0-3 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
04.03.2023 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 1-1 HT 1-0 Moreland City Moreland City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Moreland City vs Port Melbourne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moreland City and Port Melbourne shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (31% / 29% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Port Melbourne led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Moreland City and 3.00 for Port Melbourne.

What was the final score of Moreland City vs Port Melbourne?

Moreland City 1-1 Port Melbourne in the Australia - National Premier League on 01/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moreland City vs Port Melbourne?

Before kick-off our model rated an Port Melbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Moreland City 31%, draw 29%, Port Melbourne 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Port Melbourne), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Port Melbourne) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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