Port Melbourne 3-1 Moreland City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.32
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
21%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.38
Over 2.5
56%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
71%
-12.5pp
20%
Draw
18%
+2.4pp
21%
Away Win
11%
+10.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.7pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Port Melbourne EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Moreland City EU Bookmakers 14%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.99/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/2.78
-22% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -9%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
337 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.0 Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Port Melbourne
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Moreland City
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.06.2023 Moreland City Moreland City 0-5 HT 0-3 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
04.03.2023 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 1-1 HT 1-0 Moreland City Moreland City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Port Melbourne vs Moreland City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Port Melbourne beat Moreland City 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Port Melbourne as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Port Melbourne had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Port Melbourne and 0.50 for Moreland City.

What was the final score of Port Melbourne vs Moreland City?

Port Melbourne 3-1 Moreland City in the Australia - National Premier League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Port Melbourne vs Moreland City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Port Melbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Port Melbourne 59%, draw 20%, Moreland City 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Port Melbourne), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Port Melbourne) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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