Adelaide Raiders 4-1 Croydon Kings — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 24 Feb 2024

Adelaide Raiders
4-1 HT 0-1
Croydon Kings
📅24/02/2024 · 🕒07:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

Adelaide Raiders vs Croydon Kings Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.59
Over 2.5
52%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.39
No
51%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
+0.2pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.1pp
38%
Away Win
38%
-0.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
35%
+13.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
65%
-13.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
68%
-18.5pp
51%
BTTS No
32%
+18.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Adelaide Raiders v Croydon Kings — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adelaide Raiders EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Croydon Kings EU Bookmakers 42%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +16%
1.48/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/0.87
-13% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +64%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6

Adelaide Raiders vs Croydon Kings Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adelaide Raiders
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Croydon Kings
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.08.2021 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders 0-2 HT 0-2 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVNPL
12.06.2021 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings 1-3 HT 1-1 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders AVNPL
31.10.2020 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders 2-0 HT 2-0 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVNPL
16.03.2014 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders 1-4 HT 0-3 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVNPL
POST-MATCH Adelaide Raiders vs Croydon Kings
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adelaide Raiders cruised past Croydon Kings 4-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 23% / 38%) promised a tight game; Adelaide Raiders found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Adelaide Raiders and 1.75 for Croydon Kings.

What was the final score of Adelaide Raiders vs Croydon Kings?

Adelaide Raiders 4-1 Croydon Kings in the Australia - National Premier League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adelaide Raiders vs Croydon Kings?

Before kick-off our model rated a Adelaide Raiders win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Adelaide Raiders 39%, draw 23%, Croydon Kings 38%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Adelaide Raiders), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Adelaide Raiders) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVNPL More Australia - National Premier League
24 Feb 2024
06:30 Maitland vs Valentine Phoenix Analysis →
08:30 Sutherland Sharks vs NWS Spirit Analysis →
08:30 Adelaide United II vs Campbelltown City Analysis →
08:30 Adelaide City vs South Adelaide Panthers Analysis →
08:45 Adelaide Comets vs Adelaide Olympic Analysis →
09:00 Sydney Olympic vs St George City FA Analysis →