Maitland 0-1 Valentine Phoenix — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒06:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.43
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
26%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.61
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
65%
-13.6pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.4pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+10.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.0pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maitland EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Valentine Phoenix EU Bookmakers 20%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.78/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/2.01
-19% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
319 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maitland
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Valentine Phoenix
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
55% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 13
11 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
17.06.2023 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 1-2 HT 0-2 Maitland Maitland AVNSW
25.03.2023 Maitland Maitland 1-3 HT 1-0 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNPL
26.06.2022 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 2-3 HT 2-1 Maitland Maitland AVNPL
11.05.2022 Maitland Maitland 4-0 HT 1-0 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNPL
18.07.2021 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 1-3 HT 1-2 Maitland Maitland AVNPL
09.05.2021 Maitland Maitland 4-0 HT 2-0 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNPL
POST-MATCH Maitland vs Valentine Phoenix
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valentine Phoenix edged past Maitland 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Maitland at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maitland had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Maitland and 1.17 for Valentine Phoenix.

What was the final score of Maitland vs Valentine Phoenix?

Maitland 0-1 Valentine Phoenix in the Australia - National Premier League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maitland vs Valentine Phoenix?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maitland win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Maitland 52%, draw 22%, Valentine Phoenix 26%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Maitland) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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