Ceara 1-0 Coritiba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 1 Jun 2024

Ceara
1-0 HT 0-0
Coritiba
📅01/06/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Brazil - Serie B – 2024

Ceara vs Coritiba Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
36%
2.52
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.69
6+ Goals
8%
26.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.52 — our 36% vs market 33.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-3.7pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.5pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.6pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ceara v Coritiba — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ceara EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Coritiba EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.36/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.24
-9% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
317 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
25.8 Crosses 18.5
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.3

Ceara vs Coritiba Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ceara
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Coritiba
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.16 xG 1.19
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
322 Passes 362
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.09.2022 Coritiba Coritiba 1-0 HT 1-0 Ceara Ceara BR1
05.06.2022 Ceara Ceara 1-1 HT 1-0 Coritiba Coritiba BR1
21.02.2021 Coritiba Coritiba 0-2 HT 0-0 Ceara Ceara BR1
25.10.2020 Ceara Ceara 2-1 HT 1-1 Coritiba Coritiba BR1
26.09.2011 Ceara Ceara 3-2 HT 2-1 Coritiba Coritiba BR1
01.07.2011 Coritiba Coritiba 3-1 HT 2-0 Ceara Ceara BR1

Ceara 1-0 Coritiba — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ceara
1-0
AWAY Coritiba
1.17 xG 0.11
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 3
295 Passes 266
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
30 Box Touches 14
28 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ceara vs Coritiba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ceara nicked a narrow win over Coritiba 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 29%) promised a tight game; Ceara found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ceara had 53% of the ball to Coritiba's 47%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.17 to 0.11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ceara had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ceara and 1.33 for Coritiba.

What was the final score of Ceara vs Coritiba?

Ceara 1-0 Coritiba in the Brazil - Serie B on 01/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ceara vs Coritiba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ceara win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ceara 40%, draw 31%, Coritiba 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ceara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ceara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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