Goias 3-0 Sport Recife — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 1 Jun 2024

📅01/06/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.5
2-3 Goals
35%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
4.76
6+ Goals
9%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.5pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.8pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.1pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Goias EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sport Recife EU Bookmakers 31%
+3% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -15%
1.43/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/0.99
+15% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
289 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
23.4 Crosses 16.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Goias
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Sport Recife
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.72 xG 1.02
44% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
305 Passes 415
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.12.2020 Goias Goias 1-0 HT 1-0 Sport Recife Sport Recife BR1
07.09.2020 Sport Recife Sport Recife 2-1 HT 0-0 Goias Goias BR1
11.09.2015 Goias Goias 1-0 HT 0-0 Sport Recife Sport Recife BR1
05.06.2015 Sport Recife Sport Recife 1-0 HT 0-0 Goias Goias BR1
23.10.2014 Sport Recife Sport Recife 0-1 HT 0-0 Goias Goias BR1
21.07.2014 Goias Goias 0-0 HT 0-0 Sport Recife Sport Recife BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Goias
3-0
AWAY Sport Recife
0.98 xG 1.40
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 8
237 Passes 451
77% Pass Accuracy 88%
16 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Goias vs Sport Recife
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Goias ran out comfortable winners over Sport Recife 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Goias as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Goias had 38% of the ball to Sport Recife's 62%, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 0.98 to 1.40 — the balance of chances actually favoured Sport Recife.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Goias had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Goias and 0.50 for Sport Recife.

What was the final score of Goias vs Sport Recife?

Goias 3-0 Sport Recife in the Brazil - Serie B on 01/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Goias vs Sport Recife?

Before kick-off our model rated a Goias win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Goias 43%, draw 28%, Sport Recife 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Goias), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Goias) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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