Forge 3-0 York United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 1 Jun 2024

Forge
3-0 HT 2-0
York United
📅01/06/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Kanada - Premier League – 2024

Forge vs York United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.61
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
30%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.69
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
3.28
6+ Goals
10%
11.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.69 — our 26% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
58%
-11.9pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.4pp
30%
Away Win
19%
+10.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Forge v York United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forge EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY York United EU Bookmakers 22%
-16% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.65/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.50
+0% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -25%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
391 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 77%
29.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
21.2 Crosses 12.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.5

Forge vs York United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forge
4W-1D-1L
AWAY York United
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.92 xG 0.84
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
405 Passes 335
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
29 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.04.2024 York United York United 0-3 HT 0-1 Forge Forge CAPL
13.08.2023 Forge Forge 3-3 HT 1-0 York United York United CAPL
10.07.2023 York United York United 0-4 HT 0-2 Forge Forge KAPL
01.06.2023 Forge Forge 1-2 HT 0-0 York United York United KAPL
06.05.2023 York United York United 0-1 HT 0-1 Forge Forge KAPL
02.10.2022 Forge Forge 2-0 HT 0-0 York United York United KAPL

Forge 3-0 York United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forge
3-0
AWAY York United
0.65 xG 0.30
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
501 Passes 402
91% Pass Accuracy 87%
21 Box Touches 21
10 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Forge vs York United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forge ran out comfortable winners over York United 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Forge as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Forge had 54% of the ball to York United's 46%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 0.65 to 0.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forge had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Forge and 0.83 for York United.

What was the final score of Forge vs York United?

Forge 3-0 York United in the Kanada - Premier League on 01/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forge vs York United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forge win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Forge 46%, draw 24%, York United 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forge), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Forge) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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