Mamelodi Sundowns vs Orlando Pirates Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mamelodi Sundowns v Orlando Pirates — Team-Based Signals
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Orlando Pirates Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Mamelodi Sundowns
GAF8K
0-1
HT 0-1
Mamelodi Sundowns
GAFPSL
0-1
HT 0-1
Mamelodi Sundowns
GAFPSL
2-0
HT 1-0
Orlando Pirates
GAFPSL
0-3
HT 0-1
Orlando Pirates
GAF8K
Mamelodi Sundowns 1-2 Orlando Pirates — Actual Match Statistics
Orlando Pirates squeezed past Mamelodi Sundowns 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Mamelodi Sundowns at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Mamelodi Sundowns had 68% of the ball to Orlando Pirates's 32%, shots finished 7-10, expected goals 1.73 to 1.46.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mamelodi Sundowns had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Mamelodi Sundowns and 0.67 for Orlando Pirates.
What was the final score of Mamelodi Sundowns vs Orlando Pirates?
Mamelodi Sundowns 1-2 Orlando Pirates in the South Afrika - Cup on 01/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mamelodi Sundowns vs Orlando Pirates?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mamelodi Sundowns win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Mamelodi Sundowns 45%, draw 26%, Orlando Pirates 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.