Mamelodi Sundowns vs Orlando Pirates Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mamelodi Sundowns v Orlando Pirates — Team-Based Signals
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Orlando Pirates Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Mamelodi Sundowns
GAF8K
0-1
HT 0-1
Mamelodi Sundowns
GAFPSL
0-1
HT 0-1
Mamelodi Sundowns
GAFPSL
2-0
HT 1-0
Orlando Pirates
GAFPSL
0-3
HT 0-1
Orlando Pirates
GAF8K
0-0
HT 0-0
Mamelodi Sundowns
GAF8K
Mamelodi Sundowns 1-1 Orlando Pirates — Actual Match Statistics
Mamelodi Sundowns and Orlando Pirates shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Mamelodi Sundowns at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.
On the day, Mamelodi Sundowns had 69% of the ball to Orlando Pirates's 31%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 1.19 to 1.04.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mamelodi Sundowns had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Mamelodi Sundowns and 0.50 for Orlando Pirates.
What was the final score of Mamelodi Sundowns vs Orlando Pirates?
Mamelodi Sundowns 1-1 Orlando Pirates in the South Afrika - Premier League on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mamelodi Sundowns vs Orlando Pirates?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mamelodi Sundowns win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Mamelodi Sundowns 50%, draw 30%, Orlando Pirates 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns), BTTS No went the other way.