Moroka Swallows 0-1 Polokwane City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.87
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
40%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.48
Over 2.5
35%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.27
No
61%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.15
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
5.68
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
22%
+7.7pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.2pp
40%
Away Win
49%
-8.9pp
65%
Under 2.5
64%
+1.0pp
35%
Over 2.5
36%
-1.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.0pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moroka Swallows EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Polokwane City EU Bookmakers 53%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+63% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 81%
15.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.6 Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moroka Swallows
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Polokwane City
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.60 xG 0.65
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
305 Passes 281
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
9 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 2
11.11.2023 Polokwane City Polokwane City 0-0 HT 0-0 Moroka Swallows Moroka Swallows GAFPSL
26.08.2014 Moroka Swallows Moroka Swallows 3-2 HT 2-2 Polokwane City Polokwane City GAFPSL
18.12.2013 Moroka Swallows Moroka Swallows 2-1 HT 1-0 Polokwane City Polokwane City GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Moroka Swallows
0-1
AWAY Polokwane City
0.26 xG 1.04
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
228 Passes 273
65% Pass Accuracy 73%
8 Box Touches 20
10 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Moroka Swallows vs Polokwane City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polokwane City squeezed past Moroka Swallows 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 30% / 40% — and on the day Polokwane City made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Moroka Swallows had 48% of the ball to Polokwane City's 52%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 0.26 to 1.04.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Moroka Swallows had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Moroka Swallows and 1.00 for Polokwane City.

What was the final score of Moroka Swallows vs Polokwane City?

Moroka Swallows 0-1 Polokwane City in the South Afrika - Premier League on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moroka Swallows vs Polokwane City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Polokwane City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Moroka Swallows 30%, draw 30%, Polokwane City 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polokwane City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Polokwane City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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