Ajax Cape Town 3-1 AmaZulu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.75
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
47%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.27
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
16%
5.23
6+ Goals
7%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
23%
+6.4pp
23%
Draw
29%
-5.4pp
47%
Away Win
48%
-1.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.4pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajax Cape Town EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY AmaZulu EU Bookmakers 52%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
0.54/2.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-40% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% /
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 81%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
30.3 Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajax Cape Town
0W-3D-0L
AWAY AmaZulu
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.75 xG 0.73
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
192 Passes 485
68% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 17
7 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.12.2023 AmaZulu AmaZulu 1-1 HT 0-1 Ajax Cape Town Ajax Cape Town GAFPSL
16.12.2014 Ajax Cape Town Ajax Cape Town 1-1 HT 0-0 AmaZulu AmaZulu GAFPSL
10.08.2014 AmaZulu AmaZulu 0-0 HT 0-0 Ajax Cape Town Ajax Cape Town GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajax Cape Town
3-1
AWAY AmaZulu
2.38 xG 1.06
29% Ball Possession 71%
10 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 9
164 Passes 482
70% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 31
9 Crosses 37
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ajax Cape Town vs AmaZulu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajax Cape Town saw off AmaZulu 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was AmaZulu at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ajax Cape Town had 29% of the ball to AmaZulu's 71%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 2.38 to 1.06.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ajax Cape Town and 0.67 for AmaZulu.

What was the final score of Ajax Cape Town vs AmaZulu?

Ajax Cape Town 3-1 AmaZulu in the South Afrika - Premier League on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajax Cape Town vs AmaZulu?

Before kick-off our model rated an AmaZulu win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Ajax Cape Town 30%, draw 23%, AmaZulu 47%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (AmaZulu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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