Gimpo Citizen 1-2 Jeonnam Dragons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 1 Jun 2024

📅01/06/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
33%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.59
Over 2.5
51%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.47
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
4.83
6+ Goals
10%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
17%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+4.6pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.3pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-4.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
59%
-10.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
41%
+10.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.4pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimpo Citizen EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeonnam Dragons EU Bookmakers 40%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -26%
0.91/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.16
+6% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -17%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
275 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 80%
16.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
17.4 Crosses 17.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimpo Citizen
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Jeonnam Dragons
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.72 xG 0.74
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
213 Passes 432
70% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 4-0 HT 1-0 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
22.10.2023 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 2-1 HT 1-1 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
25.06.2023 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 1-2 HT 1-1 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
19.03.2023 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 0-2 HT 0-2 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
21.08.2022 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 1-1 HT 0-0 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
17.07.2022 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 0-1 HT 0-0 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimpo Citizen
1-2
AWAY Jeonnam Dragons
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gimpo Citizen vs Jeonnam Dragons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jeonnam Dragons squeezed past Gimpo Citizen 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 33% — and on the day Jeonnam Dragons made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Gimpo Citizen had 44% of the ball to Jeonnam Dragons's 56%, shots finished 12-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimpo Citizen had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Gimpo Citizen and 1.33 for Jeonnam Dragons.

What was the final score of Gimpo Citizen vs Jeonnam Dragons?

Gimpo Citizen 1-2 Jeonnam Dragons in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 01/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimpo Citizen vs Jeonnam Dragons?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimpo Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gimpo Citizen 39%, draw 29%, Jeonnam Dragons 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gimpo Citizen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gimpo Citizen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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