Jeonnam Dragons 4-0 Gimpo Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.57
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.59
6+ Goals
8%
24.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.6pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.1pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jeonnam Dragons EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimpo Citizen EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.36/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.44/0.70
-5% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +93%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
286 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
22.1 Crosses 18.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jeonnam Dragons
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Gimpo Citizen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.69 xG 0.64
57% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
404 Passes 236
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
18 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2023 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 2-1 HT 1-1 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
25.06.2023 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 1-2 HT 1-1 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
19.03.2023 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 0-2 HT 0-2 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
21.08.2022 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 1-1 HT 0-0 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
17.07.2022 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 0-1 HT 0-0 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
21.06.2022 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 2-2 HT 0-1 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jeonnam Dragons
4-0
AWAY Gimpo Citizen
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jeonnam Dragons vs Gimpo Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jeonnam Dragons cruised past Gimpo Citizen 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Jeonnam Dragons made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Jeonnam Dragons had 52% of the ball to Gimpo Citizen's 48%, shots finished 14-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimpo Citizen led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Jeonnam Dragons and 1.50 for Gimpo Citizen.

What was the final score of Jeonnam Dragons vs Gimpo Citizen?

Jeonnam Dragons 4-0 Gimpo Citizen in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jeonnam Dragons vs Gimpo Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jeonnam Dragons win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Jeonnam Dragons 38%, draw 29%, Gimpo Citizen 34%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jeonnam Dragons), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jeonnam Dragons) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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