Asan Mugunghwa 1-1 Bucheon 1995 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.45
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
4.87
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.1pp
25%
Draw
30%
-4.5pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.4pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asan Mugunghwa EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Bucheon 1995 EU Bookmakers 37%
+8% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
1.04/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.17
+2% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +35%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
280 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
18.5 Crosses 15.8
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asan Mugunghwa
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Bucheon 1995
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.20 xG 0.82
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
232 Passes 335
66% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 10
19 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.09.2023 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 1-0 HT 0-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
23.07.2023 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 1-0 HT 1-0 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
02.05.2023 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 2-1 HT 1-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
03.09.2022 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 0-3 HT 0-2 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
23.07.2022 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 2-1 HT 1-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
15.05.2022 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 0-0 HT 0-0 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asan Mugunghwa
1-1
AWAY Bucheon 1995
63% Ball Possession 37%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Asan Mugunghwa vs Bucheon 1995
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asan Mugunghwa and Bucheon 1995 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Asan Mugunghwa had 63% of the ball to Bucheon 1995's 37%, shots finished 9-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bucheon 1995 led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Asan Mugunghwa and 1.33 for Bucheon 1995.

What was the final score of Asan Mugunghwa vs Bucheon 1995?

Asan Mugunghwa 1-1 Bucheon 1995 in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asan Mugunghwa vs Bucheon 1995?

Before kick-off our model rated a Asan Mugunghwa win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Asan Mugunghwa 40%, draw 25%, Bucheon 1995 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Asan Mugunghwa), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Asan Mugunghwa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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