Gyeongnam FC 1-4 Busan I Park — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 9 Mar 2024

Gyeongnam FC
1-4 HT 1-2
Busan I Park
📅09/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
South Kore - K League Challenge – 2024

Gyeongnam FC vs Busan I Park Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.86
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.08
6+ Goals
9%
19.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 32% vs market 29.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.1pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.3pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.4pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gyeongnam FC v Busan I Park — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gyeongnam FC EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Busan I Park EU Bookmakers 36%
-9% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +19%
1.47/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.37
-13% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 76%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
18.4 Crosses 19.2
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.1

Gyeongnam FC vs Busan I Park Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gyeongnam FC
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Busan I Park
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.10 xG 0.70
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
412 Passes 216
82% Pass Accuracy 70%
16 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.10.2023 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
21.05.2023 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
15.04.2023 Busan I Park Busan I Park 0-0 HT 0-0 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
10.09.2022 Busan I Park Busan I Park 1-0 HT 1-0 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
09.07.2022 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
19.06.2022 Busan I Park Busan I Park 1-1 HT 1-1 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2

Gyeongnam FC 1-4 Busan I Park — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gyeongnam FC
1-4
AWAY Busan I Park
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 12
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gyeongnam FC vs Busan I Park
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Busan I Park ran out comfortable winners over Gyeongnam FC 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Busan I Park found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gyeongnam FC had 53% of the ball to Busan I Park's 47%, shots finished 15-20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Busan I Park led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Gyeongnam FC and 0.83 for Busan I Park.

What was the final score of Gyeongnam FC vs Busan I Park?

Gyeongnam FC 1-4 Busan I Park in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gyeongnam FC vs Busan I Park?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gyeongnam FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gyeongnam FC 40%, draw 26%, Busan I Park 35%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gyeongnam FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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