Fujieda MYFC 2-1 Ventforet Kofu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 1 Jun 2024

📅01/06/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.71
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
3.27
6+ Goals
11%
11.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.71 — our 27% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.1pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.4pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-2.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.6pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fujieda MYFC EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Ventforet Kofu EU Bookmakers 43%
-3% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +18%
1.29/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.14
+7% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
266 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fujieda MYFC
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Ventforet Kofu
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
09.07.2023 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC 1-4 HT 0-1 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
11.03.2023 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 2-1 HT 1-0 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fujieda MYFC
2-1
AWAY Ventforet Kofu
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fujieda MYFC vs Ventforet Kofu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fujieda MYFC nicked a narrow win over Ventforet Kofu 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Fujieda MYFC found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Fujieda MYFC had 45% of the ball to Ventforet Kofu's 55%, shots finished 10-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ventforet Kofu led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fujieda MYFC and 3.00 for Ventforet Kofu.

What was the final score of Fujieda MYFC vs Ventforet Kofu?

Fujieda MYFC 2-1 Ventforet Kofu in the Japan - J2 League on 01/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fujieda MYFC vs Ventforet Kofu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fujieda MYFC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Fujieda MYFC 39%, draw 25%, Ventforet Kofu 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fujieda MYFC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fujieda MYFC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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