JEF United 2-1 Fagiano Okayama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 1 Jun 2024

📅01/06/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.13
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.74
6+ Goals
11%
15.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.0pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JEF United EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Fagiano Okayama EU Bookmakers 29%
-9% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +15%
1.13/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.02
-27% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +30%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JEF United
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Fagiano Okayama
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
326 Passes 291
1 Yellow Cards 1
01.10.2023 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 0-5 HT 0-3 JEF United JEF United JAP2
25.03.2023 JEF United JEF United 1-1 HT 0-0 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
30.07.2022 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 1-1 HT 0-0 JEF United JEF United JAP2
08.05.2022 JEF United JEF United 1-0 HT 0-0 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
05.12.2021 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 1-3 HT 0-1 JEF United JEF United JAP2
09.05.2021 JEF United JEF United 4-2 HT 2-1 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JEF United
2-1
AWAY Fagiano Okayama
45% Ball Possession 55%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH JEF United vs Fagiano Okayama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JEF United edged past Fagiano Okayama 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had JEF United as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, JEF United had 45% of the ball to Fagiano Okayama's 55%, shots finished 17-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, JEF United had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for JEF United and 0.83 for Fagiano Okayama.

What was the final score of JEF United vs Fagiano Okayama?

JEF United 2-1 Fagiano Okayama in the Japan - J2 League on 01/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JEF United vs Fagiano Okayama?

Before kick-off our model rated a JEF United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split JEF United 43%, draw 27%, Fagiano Okayama 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JEF United), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (JEF United) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP2 More Japan - J2 League
1 Jun 2024
08:00 Oita Trinita vs Tokushima Vortis Analysis →
08:00 Fujieda MYFC vs Ventforet Kofu Analysis →
12:00 Yokohama FC vs Ehime FC Analysis →