Ordabasy Shymkent 3-1 Zhetysu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 1 Jun 2024

📅01/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.59
Over 2.5
47%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
57%
-5.0pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.3pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.2pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ordabasy Shymkent EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Zhetysu EU Bookmakers 21%
-5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +26%
1.76/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.40
+16% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
341 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ordabasy Shymkent
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Zhetysu
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
01.10.2023 Zhetysu Zhetysu 1-2 HT 0-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
14.03.2023 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 2-0 HT 2-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
27.06.2021 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 3-0 HT 2-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
19.04.2021 Zhetysu Zhetysu 0-4 HT 0-1 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
22.10.2020 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 3-1 HT 2-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
18.08.2020 Zhetysu Zhetysu 2-3 HT 2-1 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
POST-MATCH Ordabasy Shymkent vs Zhetysu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ordabasy Shymkent beat Zhetysu 3-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ordabasy Shymkent as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ordabasy Shymkent had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Ordabasy Shymkent and 0.67 for Zhetysu.

What was the final score of Ordabasy Shymkent vs Zhetysu?

Ordabasy Shymkent 3-1 Zhetysu in the Kazakistan - Super League on 01/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ordabasy Shymkent vs Zhetysu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ordabasy Shymkent win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Ordabasy Shymkent 52%, draw 23%, Zhetysu 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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