Tobol 1-2 Kaisar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 1 Jun 2024

Tobol
1-2 HT 0-0
Kaisar
📅01/06/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.6
Over 2.5
38%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.33
No
52%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
61%
-12.6pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.9pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+7.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
39%
+9.5pp
52%
BTTS No
61%
-9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tobol EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Kaisar EU Bookmakers 18%
+7% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +17%
2.00/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.27
+18% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +26%
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
444 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 214 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tobol
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Kaisar
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
13.04.2024 Kaisar Kaisar 0-3 HT 0-1 Tobol Tobol KAZKK
06.08.2023 Tobol Tobol 0-2 HT 0-1 Kaisar Kaisar KAZP
14.05.2023 Kaisar Kaisar 1-0 HT 0-0 Tobol Tobol KAZP
23.06.2021 Kaisar Kaisar 1-3 HT 1-1 Tobol Tobol KAZP
14.04.2021 Tobol Tobol 1-0 HT 1-0 Kaisar Kaisar KAZP
03.11.2020 Tobol Tobol 3-0 HT 0-0 Kaisar Kaisar KAZP
POST-MATCH Tobol vs Kaisar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kaisar edged past Tobol 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Tobol at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tobol had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Tobol and 0.67 for Kaisar.

What was the final score of Tobol vs Kaisar?

Tobol 1-2 Kaisar in the Kazakistan - Super League on 01/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tobol vs Kaisar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tobol win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Tobol 49%, draw 29%, Kaisar 22%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tobol) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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