BFC Daugavpils vs Valmiera / BSS Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
BFC Daugavpils v Valmiera / BSS — Team-Based Signals
BFC Daugavpils vs Valmiera / BSS Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Valmiera / BSS
LET
0-1
HT 0-1
BFC Daugavpils
LET
1-0
HT 1-0
BFC Daugavpils
LET
1-1
HT 0-0
Valmiera / BSS
LET
1-1
HT 1-1
Valmiera / BSS
LET
BFC Daugavpils 1-6 Valmiera / BSS — Actual Match Statistics
Valmiera / BSS ran out comfortable winners over BFC Daugavpils 6-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-5. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Valmiera / BSS as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, BFC Daugavpils had 37% of the ball to Valmiera / BSS's 63%, shots finished 11-27, expected goals 1.19 to 3.85.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, BFC Daugavpils had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for BFC Daugavpils and 0.50 for Valmiera / BSS.
What was the final score of BFC Daugavpils vs Valmiera / BSS?
BFC Daugavpils 1-6 Valmiera / BSS in the Latvia - Virsliga on 01/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for BFC Daugavpils vs Valmiera / BSS?
Before kick-off our model rated an Valmiera / BSS win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split BFC Daugavpils 21%, draw 22%, Valmiera / BSS 57%. The final score 1-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valmiera / BSS), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.