HamKam 1-2 Brann — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 1 Jun 2024

HamKam
1-2 HT 0-1
Brann
📅01/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2024

HamKam vs Brann Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.13
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
45%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.29
Over 2.5
48%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.84
2-3 Goals
41%
1.93
4-5 Goals
20%
2.8
6+ Goals
11%
7.59
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.84 — our 28% vs market 15.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
7.46
1/2
11%
20.4
1/X
7%
15.35
X/1
10%
10.65
X/2
13%
4.06
X/X
14%
6.23
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
21%
1.99
2/X
6%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
21%
+7.2pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.0pp
45%
Away Win
57%
-12.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
40%
+11.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
60%
-11.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.6pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

HamKam v Brann — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HamKam EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Brann EU Bookmakers 62%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.16/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.28
-50% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / +1%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
274 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 450 · 83%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 43.4
21.3 Crosses 20.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6

HamKam vs Brann Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HamKam
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Brann
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.03 xG 2.11
30% Ball Possession 70%
12 Total Shots 23
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 14
153 Passes 505
60% Pass Accuracy 83%
26 Box Touches 50
16 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
17.04.2024 Brann Brann 1-0 HT 0-0 HamKam HamKam NOR
06.08.2023 HamKam HamKam 0-2 HT 0-2 Brann Brann NOR
02.07.2023 Brann Brann 2-1 HT 1-0 HamKam HamKam NOR
02.08.2008 Brann Brann 4-1 HT 1-1 HamKam HamKam NOR
28.06.2008 HamKam HamKam 0-0 HT 0-0 Brann Brann NOR
29.10.2006 Brann Brann 2-1 HT 1-1 HamKam HamKam NOR

HamKam 1-2 Brann — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HamKam
1-2
AWAY Brann
1.43 xG 2.89
34% Ball Possession 66%
17 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
161 Passes 447
62% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 31
29 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH HamKam vs Brann
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brann edged past HamKam 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Brann as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, HamKam had 34% of the ball to Brann's 66%, shots finished 17-15, expected goals 1.43 to 2.89 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Brann's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brann led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for HamKam and 1.83 for Brann.

What was the final score of HamKam vs Brann?

HamKam 1-2 Brann in the Norway - Eliteserien on 01/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HamKam vs Brann?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brann win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split HamKam 28%, draw 27%, Brann 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brann) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brann) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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